Friday, November 30, 2012

War in Afghanistan (green-on-blue attacks)


Brief—The War in Afghanistan
From the article:
·         34 “green-on-blue” attacks this year in Afghanistan, in which troops from the NATO-led coalition have been attacked by their local allies in the Afghan security forces
o   In these attacks, 45 soldiers have been killed and 69 wounded
·         On August 29th, an Afghan soldier shot dead three Australian soldiers at a base in the south-central province of Uruzgan
·         1/7 of all NATO deaths this year have been at the hands of Afghan troops
·         The Taliban claim the attacks are part of a campaign to infiltrate the Afghan army and police with assassins
o   NATO commanders reject this idea, say that only 1/10 of the attacks are the work of infiltrators
·         Most of the attacks are rooted in a mixture of personal arguments and cultural misunderstandings
o   Afghan soldiers and policemen cite foreigners’ swearing, arrogance, ignorance of Islam and disrespect towards civilians as sources of tension with their allies
o   Afghan soldiers are also given little leave, and can be posted in a hotspot such as the Helmand province for years at a time
·         Afghan soldiers or police have also killed 53 of their comrades and wounded 22 in 35 separate attacks this year
·         The attacks weaken American support for the war
Background
            Following the 9/11 terrorist attacks, America soon moved to cut off Al-Qaeda at its source, which at the time was in Afghanistan. American and NATO troops have been in the area since 2001, with mixed results and a now unclear mission. After Osama bin Laden, the de facto leader of Al-Qaeda, was killed by U.S. special forces in Pakistan, and dozens of other terrorist leaders have been killed by drone strikes and through counter-insurgency measures, it is difficult to say what the Western role is now. To be sure, Afghanistan is by no means a perfect country. The Taliban continues to fight Western forces, and the newly-elected Afghan government (led by Hamid Karzai, the president) struggles to maintain control and to effectively train its soldiers and police forces. However, the 11-year struggle seems to be coming to an end, as people either see that the mission has been accomplished, or there is no point for American troops to continue to attempt to build a democratic state.
            The plan, at least for American troops, is to decrease the amount of forces to 68,000 by September 2012, from a peak of 100,000 in mid-2011. Barack Obama has promised a “steady pace” of withdrawal after that, until the end of 2014, when only about 20,000 trainers and special forces personnel are left. The controversy is over the ability of Afghanistan to contain the Taliban by themselves. Some say that Afghan forces will not be able to keep the Taliban at bay, while others argue that America needs to let the Afghan government approach the problem with whatever strategies they believe will be effective.

The Motion:
THW Pull out of Afghanistan



Arguments:
Pro:
1.      The War is being Won
a.       American commanders argue that recently, with the arrival of paratroopers, the Taliban has been pushed back. There are still attacks, but less bombs have been found and Taliban leaders have fled into the mountains. With the Taliban out of the towns and roads, the Afghan forces can hold the newly cleared ground.
2.      America (and the West) has done enough harm already
a.       By taking over operations in Afghanistan, American troops have limited the ability of Afghans to take ownership of the fight. We have created a harmful dependency that will make it difficult for the Afghan government to make its own policies and develop its own solutions. Nevertheless, at some point we must break this dependency. We cannot stay in Afghanistan forever.
b.      This year, there have been 34 “green-on-blue” attacks, in which forces from the NATO-led coalition have been attacked by the Afghan security forces, their allies. In these attacks, 45 soldiers have been killed and 69 wounded. Most of the reasoning for these attacks comes from disagreements and cultural misunderstandings. Afghan soldiers are frustrated by their allies’ swearing, arrogance, ignorance of Islam, and disrespect towards civilians. At the point at which our allies in Afghanistan are killing our soldiers, it is time to cut our losses and leave.
c.       Every year, there are thousands of civilian casualties in Afghanistan. In 2009, Western forces accounted for about half of all civilian casualties. In the first six months of 2010, over 3,200 Afghan civilians were killed as a result of the fighting. At some point, the civilian death toll forces us to question the purpose and efficacy of our war strategy. We are clearly at the point where civilian deaths outweigh any victory we could have against the Taliban.
3.      There is no victory strategy
a.       The war in Afghanistan, and this is true for most modern conflicts in the Middle East, is unique. This is not a war between two nations, each with boundaries, economies, constitutions, and (somewhat) uniform values, as in typical wars of the past. Rather, we are attempting to fight an ideological enemy that is extremely mobile and can cross national borders with ease. There is no way to kill the ideology of Islamic extremists. If anything, our attacks against them and their civilians will only increase their recruitment. Attempts to continue to fight the Taliban or Al-Qaeda is a losing battle. We may have superior force, but they know the landscape, the culture, the language, and their ideology cannot be snuffed out.

Con:
1.      The Afghan government is not ready (Taliban will win)
a.       Afghan forces are not numerous enough nor trained heavily enough to be able to combat the Taliban. Even if the Taliban has retreated, they can always come back, and the reason they retreated had to do with the 100,000 American troops, which will drop by at least 80,000 by the end of 2014. There are not enough Afghan troops to compete with the Taliban. They will most likely lose control of the country to the Taliban, and then we lose all the progress of the last eleven years
b.      There are reports of infiltration within the Afghan security forces and police force, as evidenced by Afghan-on-Afghan attacks within the Afghan military, killing over 50 troops this year. The Taliban is not gone, and will continue to infiltrate the military until they take back control of the government.
2.      America has an interest in forming a democracy
a.       After America originally chased off the Taliban at the start of the war, the state-building process began. Afghanistan did (and continues to) welcome U.S. assistance and aid. Not only that, but America has sacrificed thousands of troops for this cause, and it would all be a waste if we give up now. We need to stay longer in the country in order to stabilize the government, root out corruption, and assist them in growing their economy to the point that they are self-sufficient. It is within America’s interest to have a democratic government in the Middle East that supports the U.S. It gives us important diplomatic channels into Iran, Syria, and Pakistan. America also stands to gain economically by having a trade partner. This could be a great way to show the world America’s commitment to its values, as well as to keep important diplomatic connections open.
3.      Afghanistan needs our help
a.       In the last 10 years, the average lifespan of women in Afghanistan has increased by 15 years. This is due mostly to increased access to healthcare, better nutrition and increased GDP. America has made Afghanistan a better country. It is not perfect, but it is much better than rule by the Taliban, and they can still use our help in building the economy and the government.
b.      “Most people still do not have access to clean water or electricity, even in Kabul, the capital city. In part this is due to government corruption. Afghanistan is now ranked one of the most corrupt countries in the world. But it is also a failure of  the international contracting firms that built the roads, many of which were too small to allow farmers to pass trucks to get produce to market. Some used such poor quality  asphalt that the roads need rebuilding already. Even in central Kabul the main road which runs between the airport and a central district called Wazir Akbar Khan is so badly pot-holed that visitors think it is due to war damage. The asphalt of the road, built a few years ago, has already worn away.”—salon.com
                                                              i.      We need concerted efforts to help the citizens while we keep the Taliban at bay. We do not need all of our troops, but we cannot abandon our ally while we have left their country in such a weak state. We are setting them up to either lose control of their government or be mired in poverty for the next decade, and we must right this wrong.
Sources:

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